House Prices Fall But at a Slower Rate
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The drop in house prices slowed a little in November with prices falling by just 0.4%.
The mortgage lender Nationwide said the rate of droops in hose prices “moderated significantly” when compared with October’s 1.3% drop.
House prices have dropped 13.9% from November 2007, easing from a 14.6% annual fall in October.
Nationwide however warned that the UK weak economy would continue to pressure the housing market.
“In spite of the moderation in house price falls recorded in November, with the economy in recession, conditions do not appear very favourable for a swift recovery in the housing market,” Nationwide’s chief economist Fionnuala Earley said.
“With prices falling at their current rate, there is also less incentive for new borrowers to hurry into the market.”
The Nationwide also stated that the price of an average house now stands at £158,442.
That amounts to a drop of £25,000 in the past year, although the building society says prices are still £25,000 higher than they were in November 2003.
The last year has seen the property market hit a sudden and most dramatic slowdown on record. They estimated that the UK house building industry has reduced by 50% since the start of the credit crunch last July.
Former head of the HBOS mortgage bank, Sir James Crosby, recommended that the government take direct action to stimulate the flow of mortgage funds to the UK banking industry.
He warned that otherwise new mortgage lending might reduce to zero.
And that in turn would lead to a further drop in house sales and prices which would make the recession even worse.
In evidence to a Parliamentary committee, Mervyn King, the governor of the Bank of England, said no issue was more important at the moment than the restoration of general bank lending.
David Miles, chief UK economist at the investment bank Morgan Stanley, said there had been some good news in the past few weeks.
“We have had some very substantial cuts in interest rates from the Bank of England,” he said.
“That will feed through to lower costs of mortgages, for those who already have a mortgage anyway, pretty soon,” he added.
“November’s moderate fall in house prices is not a sign that the housing market is bottoming,” it said.
“With the economy set for a deep recession and unemployment rising steeply, we expect the sharper downward trend in house prices of recent months to reassert itself,” it added.
The gloomy outlook was supported by the West Bromwich building society, the UK’s seventh largest.
Reporting a 65% fall in half-year profits to £8m, it forecast that house prices would fall further in 2009.
Fearing that some of its borrowers may start defaulting on their mortgages in increasing numbers, the society set aside a further £7.5m to cover potential bad debts, even though its arrears are currently lower than the industry average.
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