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latest figures show the Consumer Price Index (CPI) leapt by 2.9% last month.
That compares to a 1.9% rise recorded in November 2009 and is much greater than the 2.4% forecast by city analysts.
The rise was due to a lack of discounting by retailers, general economic recovery and higher fuel prices - the cost of crude oil has doubled in the past 12 months.
The CPI is now comfortably above the Bank of England’s 2% target for the first time since May 2009.
As VAT returned from its discounted rate of 15% to the full rate of 17.5% in January, statistics for this month are likely to see inflation break the 3% mark.
That means the Governor of the Bank of England, Mervyn King, will have to write an open letter to the Chancellor, explaining why CPI is off target.
All of which means that the Bank of England is more likely to raise interest rates sooner rather than later, in order to control inflation.
Some economists had formerly been of the opinion that Bank Base Rate might remain at its current historic low of 0.5% until the end of this year and even into 2011.
That is now looking less likely.
“While the economy has been in recession the Bank of England hasn’t been focusing on inflation but it will become more of a concern,” said Michael Saunders, chief economist for western Europe at Citigroup.
“I think they’ll hike rates in the second or third quarter.”
“Today’s inflation figures will bring to an end the ‘rate complacency’ we have seen among borrowers over the past year or so,” added mortgage broker Andrew Montlake of Coreco.
“This is a real shot across the bows for borrowers, many of whom are quietly banking on a low interest rate environment in the short term. But this is a risky game to play.
“If rates rise to contain inflation then many borrowers will find themselves with significantly higher monthly payments.
“The prices of a mortgages have fallen due to an increase in competition although this trend is likely to reverse quite rapidly given today’s figures.”